Lechia Gdanskvs
Warta Poznań
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 7/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warta Poznań · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lechia Gdansk are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Warta Poznań are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Poznań hold a 39.4-point power-rating edge (19.9 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the I Liga, while Warta Poznań holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Warta Poznań
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Warta Poznań has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40