GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lech Poznan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lech Poznan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Piast Gliwice are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Ekstraklasa, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lech Poznan

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lech PoznanWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Piast GliwiceWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lech PoznanPiast Gliwice
33.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence16.7
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power47.8
1.64xG1.18
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