GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 7/25/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lech Poznan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lech Poznan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cracovia Krakow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Ekstraklasa, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lech Poznan

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lech PoznanWWWDW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Cracovia KrakowWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lech PoznanCracovia Krakow
33.3Attack0.0
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power31.3
1.45xG0.94
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