Lech Poznanvs
Cracovia Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 7/25/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lech Poznan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lech Poznan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cracovia Krakow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Ekstraklasa, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lech Poznan
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80