GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lech Poznan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lech Poznan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aarhus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the UEFA Champions League, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lech Poznan

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lech PoznanDWWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AarhusDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lech PoznanAarhus
66.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence25.0
50.0Form50.0
49.0Power43.0
2.09xG1.44
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