Lech Poznanvs
Aarhus
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lech Poznan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lech Poznan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aarhus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the UEFA Champions League, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lech Poznan
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40