LeccovsDesenzano Calvina

Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Desenzano Calvina holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.