GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leatherhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Leatherhead are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Welling United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Welling United hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Leatherhead holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leatherhead

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

12.0%

Leatherhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeatherheadWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Welling UnitedWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeatherheadWelling United
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.64xG1.46
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