GGOALVIO

Portugal · Liga 3 · 8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leça · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Leça are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while São João Ver are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leça hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Liga 3, while Leça holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leça

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

13.7%

Leça has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeçaDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
São João VerDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LeçaSão João Ver
50.0Attack45.2
50.0Defence48.8
50.0Form41.7
50.0Power46.9
1.47xG1.08
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