Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Le Mans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Le Mans are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nantes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantes hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Le Mans holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Le Mans
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Le Mans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60