Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laval · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Le Havre are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Laval are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Laval hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Laval holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Laval
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Laval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60