Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Le Havre · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Le Havre are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Amiens are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Le Havre hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 25.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Le Havre holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Le Havre
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Le Havre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40