GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Macara are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.9% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

26.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MacaraDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoMacara
31.9Attack44.4
72.2Defence66.7
48.6Form56.9
52.8Power57.0
0.67xG0.69
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