GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Libertad are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoDLWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LibertadLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoLibertad
31.9Attack36.1
72.2Defence62.5
48.6Form45.8
52.8Power50.3
0.77xG0.54
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