GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and independiente del Valle hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 78.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Liga Pro, favouring Independiente del Valle with 19.0% confidence, a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

19.0%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LDU de QuitoWWWDL

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
31.9Attack80.6
72.2Defence69.4
48.6Form84.7
52.8Power78.1
0.58xG1.23
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