Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laval · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Laval are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Avranches are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Laval hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Laval holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Laval
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Laval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00