Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Schwaz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lauterach are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Schwaz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Schwaz hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Regionalliga - West, while Schwaz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Schwaz
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
10.0%
Schwaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 14 · GA 22 · avg 2.80/4.40