GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/2/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South East Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Launceston United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while South East Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South East Utd. hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (17.5 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while South East Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South East Utd.

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

South East Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston UnitedLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
South East Utd.LLLLL

GF 3 · GA 21 · avg 0.60/4.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston UnitedSouth East Utd.
31.5Attack48.1
0.0Defence5.6
9.3Form38.9
17.5Power32.7
1.97xG2.86
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