GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/10/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Launceston United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Launceston City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (17.5 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.4% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston City

Probability

81.4%

Model confidence

81.4%

Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston UnitedLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Launceston CityWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston UnitedLaunceston City
31.5Attack71.9
0.0Defence35.1
9.3Form56.1
17.5Power52.9
1.28xG4.50
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