GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/9/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Launceston United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 57.1-point power-rating edge (17.5 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

91.6%

Model confidence

91.6%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston UnitedLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kingborough LionsWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston UnitedKingborough Lions
31.5Attack91.2
0.0Defence68.4
9.3Form75.4
17.5Power74.6
0.60xG4.50
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