Launceston Cityvs
Ulverstone
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 3/14/2026, 5:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Launceston City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ulverstone are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 5.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Launceston City
Probability
84.6%
Model confidence
84.6%
Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80
GF 26 · GA 13 · avg 5.20/2.60