GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 6/28/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Launceston City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while South East Utd. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston City

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston CityWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
South East Utd.WLLWL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Launceston CitySouth East Utd.
71.9Attack48.1
35.1Defence5.6
56.1Form38.9
52.9Power32.7
4.50xG1.75
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