GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/22/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Launceston City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Launceston United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.5% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston City

Probability

84.5%

Model confidence

84.5%

Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston CityLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston UnitedLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Launceston CityLaunceston United
71.9Attack31.5
35.1Defence0.0
56.1Form9.3
52.9Power17.5
4.50xG1.09
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