GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/18/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Launceston City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

71.4%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Launceston CityWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kingborough LionsWLWDW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Launceston CityKingborough Lions
71.9Attack91.2
35.1Defence68.4
56.1Form75.4
52.9Power74.6
1.49xG3.71
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