Australia · Tasmania NPL · 8/15/2026, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Launceston City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Clarence Zebras are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Launceston City
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
7.0%
Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80