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Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Latina · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Latina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ostia Mare are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Latina hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Latina holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Latina

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Latina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LatinaWWLDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ostia MareLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
LatinaOstia Mare
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
58.8Power52.0
1.36xG1.10
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