Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lask Linz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ried are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lask Linz hold a 58.3-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Bundesliga, while Lask Linz holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lask Linz
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
11.8%
Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60