Las Vegas LightsvsSacramento Republic

Las Vegas Lights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sacramento Republic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.