Las Vegas LightsvsOrange County SC

Las Vegas Lights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orange County SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.