Las Vegas Lightsvs
Oakland Roots
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/6/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Las Vegas Lights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and las Vegas Lights hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring a draw with 13.8% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.0%
Model confidence
13.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20