Las Vegas Lightsvs
FC Tulsa
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/31/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Las Vegas Lights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.1 against 53.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60