Las Vegas Lightsvs
El Paso Locomotive
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/5/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Las Vegas Lights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Las Vegas Lights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.6 against 52.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the USL Championship, while Las Vegas Lights holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Las Vegas Lights
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Las Vegas Lights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80