GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/24/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Las Vegas Lights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Las Vegas Lights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.6 against 51.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the USL Championship, while Las Vegas Lights holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Las Vegas Lights

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Las Vegas Lights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Las Vegas LightsLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado SpringsWDDWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Las Vegas LightsColorado Springs
45.6Attack51.9
52.6Defence51.9
45.6Form46.3
50.6Power51.7
1.41xG1.35
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