GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Las Vegas Lights · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Las Vegas Lights are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Brooklyn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Las Vegas Lights hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the USL Championship, while Las Vegas Lights holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Las Vegas Lights

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

12.0%

Las Vegas Lights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Las Vegas LightsWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BrooklynLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Las Vegas LightsBrooklyn
45.6Attack33.3
52.6Defence37.3
45.6Form25.5
50.6Power34.0
1.93xG0.82
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