GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Las Vegas Lights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Boise are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boise hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the USL League One Cup, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boise

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Las Vegas LightsLDLWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BoiseWDDLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Las Vegas LightsBoise
33.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence50.0
33.3Form58.3
41.9Power60.3
1.27xG1.59
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