Las Palmasvs
União de Leiria
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Las Palmas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while União de Leiria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and União de Leiria hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40