Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Landshut are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Erlbach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Landshut hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40