Åland Unitedvs
HPS W
SCHEDULEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Åland United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while HPS W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Åland United
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Åland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80