GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Åland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Åland United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while HPS W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Åland United

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Åland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Åland UnitedWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HPS WWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Åland UnitedHPS W
97.8Attack48.9
57.8Defence62.2
68.9Form60.0
71.0Power58.4
2.24xG1.12
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