Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sion II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Lancy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sion II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lancy hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1, while Sion II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sion II
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
7.6%
Sion II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00