GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasLDLDW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasWeston Bears
57.1Attack76.2
47.6Defence47.6
34.9Form63.5
46.2Power62.4
1.87xG2.37
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