GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lambton Jaffas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maitland are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lambton JaffasLDLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lambton JaffasMaitland
57.1Attack60.3
47.6Defence50.8
34.9Form61.9
46.2Power60.0
1.77xG1.86
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