Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while vaasa PS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80