Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC Lahti are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SJK are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lahti
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
FC Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80