Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while KuPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20