LahtivsHJK Helsinki

Lahti are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HJK Helsinki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK Helsinki hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.