Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ABC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Laguna are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while ABC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and ABC hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (20.4 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Serie D, while ABC holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ABC
Probability
78.1%
Model confidence
78.1%
ABC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40