LaagrivsNõmme United

Laagri are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nõmme United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Laagri hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Meistriliiga, while Laagri holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.