Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laagri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Laagri are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mārupe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Laagri hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Laagri holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Laagri
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Laagri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00