Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alcoyano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
La Nucía are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Alcoyano are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcoyano hold a 67.0-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Alcoyano holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alcoyano
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Alcoyano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20