La Luzvs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 7/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
La Luz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tacuarembo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and La Luz hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80