Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
La Luz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Rentistas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80