Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
La Luz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colón are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Colón hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00